The international jury 2022
A Word from the Jury President
Since 2015, the Population Early-Career Researcher Prize has been awarded to eligible researchers for their work. For the 2022 edition, the journal received nine manuscripts addressing a wide range of topics, including health and mortality, fertility, education, occupational trajectories, and the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Submissions covered different geographical contexts, including Africa, North America, Asia, and Europe. The number of submissions was lower this year, probably due to the particular health context since 2020.
After an initial screening, five manuscripts were shortlisted, each sent to two external reviewers. The whole review process was double blind. The jury met on 10 February 2022.
I am pleased to announce that the 2022 prize goes to Ainhoa Elena Leger et Silvia Rizzi for their paper entitled ‘Estimating excess mortality in French and Spanish regions during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic: An application of the later/earlier method’.
Following a detailed review of the methods for estimating excess mortality in the short term, Leger and Rizzi describe the ‘later/earlier’ method for estimating excess deaths in France and Spain during the COVID-19 pandemic. They meticulously analyse weekly cause-of-death data and daily case and death statistics in both countries, producing informative results not only on pandemic-related excess mortality but also on differences in COVID-19 vulnerability for population subgroups and for specific regions. One key demonstration is that the later/earlier method is simple and requires fewer assumptions than other forecasting methods. It is also less biased and more accurate than the intuitive 5-year average method.
The article is scheduled to be published in this year’s third issue of Population. Authors of some of the shortlisted manuscripts have been invited to submit a revised version of their manuscript to the journal’s editorial board.
I hope that you enjoy reading this article and that it will encourage many early-career researchers to compete for the 2023 award.
International jury of the 2022 competition
President: Jean-François Kobiané (Institut supérieur des sciences de la Population, Burkina Faso)
Pascale Breuil (Cnav, France)
Lionel Kesztenbaum (Ined, France)
Karen Neels (Université d’Anvers, Belgique)
Olivia Samuel (Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin, France)
Géraldine Duthé (Ined, France)
Anne Solaz (Ined, France)